In the past, hedge fund managers' publicly-voiced opinions at investors' conferences held much more sway and market influence than they do now. For instance, in 2015, hedge fund managers like Anthony Bozza had the power to make Universal Insurance Holdings Inc.'s shares fall by up to 30%. Bozza, the manager of Lakewood Capital Management, achieved this by giving a negative speech filled with attacks against the insurance company at the Robin Hood Investors Conference in New York. The aftermath? UIHI's shares fell within the hour and never fully regained their original value.
Historically there has been a consistent correlation between hedge fund managers' recommendations and a movement in the shares of the companies they mention. However, in recent years, that correlation has been on the decline, from 76% recommended stock movement to 34%. In the case of certain ideas, if attendants sell short 1,000 shares of a pinpointed company during the conference and close trades by the end of the day, they stand a chance of earning back at least their ticket price for the conference, with some profits to spare, but this is much smaller-scale than what came before.
The annual Robin Hood Investors Conference funded by JP Morgan
The diminished market influence of the insights given by "hedge fund stars" suggests that the value of attending investors' conferences will gradually diminish as well. This shift raises the question of whether an alternative, centralized source of information will replace such conferences, or if "good" sources of investment advice will become more widely dispersed and less establishment-centric. As the sense of prestige typically attached to these conferences erodes, the market influence these stars wield will continue to decrease.
- https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2017-hedge-fund-conference-picks/?cmpid=BBD102017_MKT&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&utm_term=171020&utm_campaign=markets
- https://www.robinhood.org/jp-morgan-presents-robin-hoods-fifth-annual-investors-conference/
- http://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/J-P-Morgan-Presents-Robin-Hood-s-Fifth-Annual-Investors-Conference-1005365547
- https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2017-hedge-fund-conference-picks/