U.S. technology-linked ETFs endured a wave of selling pressure in March 2025 as investor enthusiasm for the artificial intelligence boom cooled and macroeconomic uncertainties-from tariff risks to geopolitical tensions-dampened appetite for high-growth names.
The Invesco QQQ Trust
Unlike previous corrections, where dip-buying quickly followed. This time, investors pulled back. QQQ posted $1.4 billion in outflows, snapping a four-month streak of inflows and signaling rising caution.
The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund
Semiconductor-related ETFs-previously the poster children of the AI revolution-were particularly hard hit.
The iShares Semiconductor ETF
The VanEck Semiconductor ETF
These ETFs have entered a bear market after falling more than 20% from their late 2024 peak.
Valuation Reset: The AI Trade Comes Back to Earth
According to Ed Yardeni, president at Yardeni Research, the semiconductor sector has now "mostly erased its valuation premium" over the broader market-an edge it had built up since the debut of ChatGPT in late 2022.
"We've opined that DeepSeek would be a net positive for AI demand, as cheaper training and model proliferation helps non-tech companies adopt AI and boost productivity. Perhaps there was a mini-bubble built up on AI euphoria," Yardeni said in a recent note.
Yet, he also expressed room for optimism.
"Since the Magnficent-7 stocks' long-term earnings expectations and valuation multiples already have realigned closer to historical averages without a bear market or recession, we think further downside for the AI trade is limited," Yardeni added.